Fact Sheet for CBOs March 2007 Baseline: "BIG THREE" ENTITLEMENT PROGRAMS
By fiscal year
$ in billions

		2006	2007	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017
"Big Three" Outlays
	Social Security	544	581	608	638	673	711	753	799	849	903	961	1,024
	Medicare ¹	375	425	449	480	510	562	564	624	667	716	802	842
	Medicaid	181	192	208	226	243	263	284	306	331	357	386	417
Total		1,100	1,198	1,265	1,344	1,426	1,536	1,601	1,729	1,847	1,976	2,149	2,283

Total Mandatory Outlays		1,413	1,454	1,536	1,625	1,714	1,832	1,870	2,009	2,131	2,264	2,449	2,580

Total Federal Outlays		2,655	2,719	2,833	2,944	3,058	3,202	3,250	3,411	3,555	3,710	3,921	4,067

US GDP		13,065	13,645	14,300	15,014	15,742	16,465	17,205	17,973	18,764	19,582	20,425	21,295


Percent of "Big Three" Outlays
	Social Security	49.5%	48.5%	48.1%	47.5%	47.2%	46.3%	47.0%	46.2%	46.0%	45.7%	44.7%	44.8%
	Medicare ¹	34.1%	35.5%	35.5%	35.7%	35.8%	36.6%	35.2%	36.1%	36.1%	36.2%	37.3%	36.9%
	Medicaid	16.5%	16.0%	16.4%	16.8%	17.0%	17.1%	17.7%	17.7%	17.9%	18.1%	18.0%	18.3%
Total		100.0%	100.0%	100.0%	100.0%	100.0%	100.0%	100.0%	100.0%	100.0%	100.0%	100.0%	100.0%


Percent of Total Mandatory Outlays
	Social Security	38.5%	40.0%	39.6%	39.3%	39.3%	38.8%	40.3%	39.8%	39.8%	39.9%	39.2%	39.7%
	Medicare ¹	26.5%	29.2%	29.2%	29.5%	29.8%	30.6%	30.2%	31.0%	31.3%	31.6%	32.7%	32.7%
	Medicaid	12.8%	13.2%	13.5%	13.9%	14.2%	14.4%	15.2%	15.2%	15.5%	15.8%	15.8%	16.2%
Total		77.8%	82.4%	82.3%	82.7%	83.2%	83.8%	85.6%	86.0%	86.7%	87.3%	87.7%	88.5%


Percent of Total Federal Outlays
	Social Security	20.5%	21.4%	21.5%	21.7%	22.0%	22.2%	23.2%	23.4%	23.9%	24.3%	24.5%	25.2%
	Medicare ¹	14.1%	15.6%	15.8%	16.3%	16.7%	17.5%	17.4%	18.3%	18.8%	19.3%	20.4%	20.7%
	Medicaid	6.8%	7.1%	7.3%	7.7%	7.9%	8.2%	8.7%	9.0%	9.3%	9.6%	9.8%	10.3%
Total		41.4%	44.0%	44.6%	45.6%	46.6%	48.0%	49.3%	50.7%	52.0%	53.3%	54.8%	56.1%


Percent of US GDP
	Social Security	4.2%	4.3%	4.3%	4.2%	4.3%	4.3%	4.4%	4.4%	4.5%	4.6%	4.7%	4.8%
	Medicare ¹	2.9%	3.1%	3.1%	3.2%	3.2%	3.4%	3.3%	3.5%	3.6%	3.7%	3.9%	4.0%
	Medicaid	1.4%	1.4%	1.5%	1.5%	1.5%	1.6%	1.7%	1.7%	1.8%	1.8%	1.9%	2.0%
Total		8.4%	8.8%	8.8%	9.0%	9.1%	9.3%	9.3%	9.6%	9.8%	10.1%	10.5%	10.7%


¹ Does not include offsetting receipts